Hutnik Krakówvs
Stal Stalowa Wola
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hutnik Kraków 2-1 Stal Stalowa Wola
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 41.8% | 50.9% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.6% | 24.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.6% | 24.4% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00