Hutnik Krakówvs
Olimpia Grudziądz
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hutnik Kraków 1-2 Olimpia Grudziądz
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.7% | 42.4% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 26.9% | 27.1% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.4% | 30.5% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20