Hutnik Krakówvs
Chojniczanka Chojnice
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 10/17/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hutnik Kraków · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hutnik Kraków 1-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Original prediction
Hutnik Kraków
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.5% | 51.2% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.2% | 21.4% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 36.2% | 27.4% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Hutnik Kraków
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Hutnik Kraków has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80