Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Husqvarna 0-7 Gais
Original prediction
Gais
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.63 | 9.3% | 30.3% | 20.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.64 | 15.9% | 22.9% | 7.0 pts |
| Away | 1.20 | 74.7% | 46.8% | -27.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HusqvarnaWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GaisLLWLD
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HusqvarnaGais
66.7Attack66.7
33.3Defence50.0
50.0Form58.3
51.0Power58.9
1.89xG1.90