GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga Premier Serie B · 10/2/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Huracanes Izcalli · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Huracanes Izcalli 6-1 Atletico Hidalgo

Original prediction

Huracanes Izcalli

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1842.1%42.6%0.6 pts
Draw3.5825.5%27.1%1.5 pts
Away2.8232.4%30.3%-2.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–010%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Huracanes Izcalli

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Huracanes Izcalli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Huracanes IzcalliWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Atletico HidalgoLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Huracanes IzcalliAtletico Hidalgo
22.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence16.7
33.3Form0.0
39.0Power21.5
1.57xG1.11
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