Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Huracan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Danubio are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Danubio hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60