GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/6/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Club Guarani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Huracan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Club Guarani are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Guarani hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (41.6 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Club Guarani holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Club Guarani

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Club Guarani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuracanLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club GuaraniWDL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
HuracanClub Guarani
38.9Attack48.1
55.6Defence63.0
27.8Form55.6
41.6Power56.9
0.94xG1.22
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