GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 2/28/2023, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Huracan are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Boston River are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 50.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuracanDDWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boston RiverLDLWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HuracanBoston River
8.3Attack16.7
91.7Defence83.3
41.7Form41.7
50.3Power50.3
0.86xG0.73
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