Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huntly · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Huntly 2-0 Keith
Original prediction
Huntly
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 52.4% | 55.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 22.1% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 3.79 | 23.6% | 22.1% | -1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Huntly
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Huntly has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HuntlyWWWDL
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KeithWWLLL
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HuntlyKeith
66.7Attack48.7
46.2Defence25.6
46.2Form38.5
50.9Power39.4
3.39xG1.44