GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/23/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Salisbury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hungerford Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Salisbury are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Salisbury hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Salisbury holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Salisbury

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Salisbury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hungerford TownDDDWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SalisburyWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hungerford TownSalisbury
61.1Attack55.6
44.4Defence63.5
50.8Form62.7
52.7Power62.5
1.41xG1.76
View match centre →