GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/26/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hungerford Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hungerford TownLWLDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWWWWD

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hungerford TownMerthyr Town
61.1Attack67.5
44.4Defence53.2
50.8Form53.2
52.7Power57.2
1.84xG2.10
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