GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/1/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hungerford Town are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hungerford TownWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hungerford TownMerthyr Town
61.1Attack67.5
44.4Defence53.2
50.8Form53.2
52.7Power57.2
1.84xG2.10
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