GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/13/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hungerford Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chesham United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hungerford TownWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Chesham UnitedDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hungerford TownChesham United
61.1Attack65.9
44.4Defence63.5
50.8Form71.4
52.7Power67.2
1.39xG2.12
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