Hungary Wvs
Netherlands W
COMPLETEDWorld · World Cup - Women - Qualification Europe · 10/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Netherlands W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hungary W 0-8 Netherlands W
Original prediction
Netherlands W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 18.45 | 4.9% | 36.5% | 31.6 pts |
| Draw | 8.32 | 10.9% | 22.6% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 1.08 | 84.1% | 40.8% | -43.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-43.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Netherlands W
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Netherlands W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 21 · GA 2 · avg 4.20/0.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40