Hungary U19vs
Bulgaria U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hungary U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hungary U19 1-1 Bulgaria U19
Original prediction
Hungary U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.6% | 44.0% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.1% | 28.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.56 | 25.4% | 27.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hungary U19
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Hungary U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40