Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hung Yen · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hung Yen 3-1 Long An
Original prediction
Hung Yen
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.16 | 78.9% | 58.5% | -20.5 pts |
| Draw | 6.75 | 13.6% | 23.0% | 9.4 pts |
| Away | 12.26 | 7.5% | 18.5% | 11.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Hung Yen
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Hung Yen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hung YenDWWWL
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Long AnLDLLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hung YenLong An
100.0Attack11.1
77.8Defence66.7
77.8Form11.1
79.8Power32.9
1.67xG0.74