GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/13/2023, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chongqing Tongliang Long · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Hunan Billows FC are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 35.8-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.3% in the League Two, while Chongqing Tongliang Long holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chongqing Tongliang Long

Probability

83.3%

Model confidence

83.3%

Chongqing Tongliang Long has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hunan Billows FCDL

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Chongqing Tongliang LongDW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Hunan Billows FCChongqing Tongliang Long
39.4Attack74.2
30.3Defence78.8
37.9Form74.2
38.2Power74.1
0.56xG3.07
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