GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hummetroth are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Fernwald are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fernwald

Probability

50.9%

Model confidence

50.9%

Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HummetrothLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FernwaldLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HummetrothFernwald
33.3Attack41.7
0.0Defence58.3
0.0Form41.7
15.3Power48.8
1.36xG2.10
View match centre →