Hummetrothvs
Fernwald
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Hessen · 9/27/2025, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hummetroth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40