GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 3/21/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Baunatal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hummetroth are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Baunatal are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Baunatal hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Baunatal holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Baunatal

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Baunatal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HummetrothLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BaunatalDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HummetrothBaunatal
33.3Attack22.2
0.0Defence44.4
0.0Form11.1
15.3Power29.5
1.60xG1.88
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