Humennévs
Zlaté Moravce
COMPLETEDSlovakia · 2. liga · 10/17/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zlaté Moravce · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Humenné 0-0 Zlaté Moravce, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Humenné 2-1 Zlaté Moravce
Original prediction
Zlaté Moravce
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.23 | 28.1% | 23.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.8% | 28.5% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Humenné 0–0 Zlaté Moravce
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Zlaté Moravce
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Zlaté Moravce has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HumennéLLLDD
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Zlaté MoravceLDLDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HumennéZlaté Moravce
19.4Attack36.1
47.2Defence61.1
22.2Form36.1
33.0Power45.6
0.65xG1.09