Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pohronie · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Humenné 0-2 Pohronie
Original prediction
Pohronie
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.5% | 26.8% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.6% | 26.4% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 35.0% | 46.8% | 11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Pohronie
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Pohronie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HumennéDDLLD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
PohronieLLWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HumennéPohronie
20.0Attack53.3
56.7Defence50.0
26.7Form53.3
37.5Power53.8
0.81xG1.34