Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Petržalka · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Humenné 0-1 Petržalka
Original prediction
Petržalka
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.38 | 20.8% | 16.7% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.8% | 21.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.64 | 55.5% | 61.6% | 6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.64 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–214%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Petržalka
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Petržalka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HumennéDLWLW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PetržalkaDWWWW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HumennéPetržalka
22.2Attack88.9
50.0Defence88.9
33.3Form100.0
38.5Power92.6
0.71xG2.12