GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 2/24/2023, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hume City are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityDL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Heidelberg UnitedL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
Hume CityHeidelberg United
66.7Attack52.8
55.6Defence54.2
63.9Form47.2
63.3Power52.7
2.07xG1.26
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