GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/2/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hume City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

52.2%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Heidelberg UnitedWWDDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hume CityHeidelberg United
66.7Attack52.8
55.6Defence54.2
63.9Form47.2
63.3Power52.7
2.07xG1.26
View match centre →