GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 3/14/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Hume City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 34.8-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

85.2%

Model confidence

11.9%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dandenong ThunderLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hume CityDandenong Thunder
66.7Attack33.3
55.6Defence26.1
63.9Form21.7
63.3Power28.5
3.57xG0.74
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