Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hume City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Avondale are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hume City
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 17 · GA 8 · avg 3.40/1.60