Humble Lionsvs
Racing United
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Racing United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-3 (11%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Humble Lions 1-2 Racing United
Original prediction
Racing United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.75 | 11.7% | 12.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.78 | 18.9% | 17.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.31 | 69.4% | 69.7% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Racing United
Probability
69.7%
Model confidence
69.7%
Racing United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 14 · avg 0.40/2.80
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80