Humble Lionsvs
Chapelton
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chapelton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Humble Lions 0-0 Chapelton
Original prediction
Chapelton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 26.9% | 35.2% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 27.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.9% | 37.8% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Chapelton
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Chapelton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40