Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galvez · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Humaitá are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Galvez are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Galvez hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (6.7 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Serie D, while Galvez holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Galvez
Probability
55.3%
Model confidence
55.3%
Galvez has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20