Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hull City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Doncaster are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the League Cup, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40