Hull City U21vs
Wigan Athletic U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Professional Development League · 10/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan Athletic U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-3 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hull City U21 2-2 Wigan Athletic U21
Original prediction
Wigan Athletic U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.9% | 35.8% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.14 | 21.8% | 25.5% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.3% | 38.7% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.14 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–35%
Predicted outcome
Wigan Athletic U21
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Wigan Athletic U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60