GGOALVIO

England · Professional Development League · 9/1/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hull City U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hull City U21 0-2 Swansea City U21

Original prediction

Hull City U21

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5335.8%44.6%8.7 pts
Draw3.9223.1%24.2%1.1 pts
Away2.2141.0%31.2%-9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

8.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–19%
  2. 2.3–17%
  3. 3.1–17%

Predicted outcome

Hull City U21

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Hull City U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hull City U21DWLWL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Swansea City U21LLWLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hull City U21Swansea City U21
100.0Attack33.3
0.0Defence16.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power21.5
2.58xG1.58
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