Hull City U21vs
Brentford U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Brentford U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hull City U21 1-1 Brentford U21
Original prediction
Brentford U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.1% | 27.6% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 19.9% | 20.8% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 1.63 | 55.0% | 51.6% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Brentford U21
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Brentford U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60