Huescavs
Villarreal II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villarreal II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Huesca 0-1 Villarreal II, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Huesca 0-3 Villarreal II
Original prediction
Villarreal II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.5% | 33.0% | -14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.7% | 29.7% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.8% | 37.3% | 13.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Projected Score
Huesca 0–1 Villarreal II
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Villarreal II
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Villarreal II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20