Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huesca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Huesca 3-1 Europa Fc
Original prediction
Huesca
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 57.2% | 42.0% | -15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 29.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.22 | 17.4% | 28.7% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Huesca
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Huesca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HuescaDDLDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Europa FcWLLDL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HuescaEuropa Fc
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence100.0
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.13xG0.96