Huescavs
Atlético Madrid II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huesca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Huesca 0-0 Atlético Madrid II
Original prediction
Huesca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.89 | 48.2% | 36.2% | -12.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 28.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.62 | 25.2% | 35.2% | 10.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.42 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Huesca
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Huesca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20