Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huesca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Huesca 1-1 Antequera
Original prediction
Huesca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.7% | 38.9% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.8% | 28.2% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.6% | 32.9% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Huesca
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Huesca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HuescaDDWDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AntequeraLDDWD
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HuescaAntequera
42.9Attack54.2
52.4Defence50.0
38.1Form41.7
46.3Power50.9
1.35xG1.35