GGOALVIO

England · League One · 9/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Huddersfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Huddersfield 1-1 Notts County

Original prediction

Huddersfield

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6656.3%52.4%-3.9 pts
Draw3.8624.1%24.9%0.7 pts
Away4.7619.6%22.7%3.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–010%
  3. 3.1–010%

Predicted outcome

Huddersfield

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Huddersfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuddersfieldWWDWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Notts CountyDWDDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
HuddersfieldNotts County
75.0Attack50.0
75.0Defence58.3
83.3Form50.0
78.6Power56.2
1.83xG0.97
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