GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Huddersfield are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the League Cup, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuddersfieldLWWWD

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MiddlesbroughLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HuddersfieldMiddlesbrough
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.31xG1.56
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