GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/8/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Huddersfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Huddersfield are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Barnsley are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Huddersfield hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the EFL Trophy, while Huddersfield holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Huddersfield

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Huddersfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuddersfieldWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarnsleyLDDWL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HuddersfieldBarnsley
66.7Attack58.3
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
55.0Power47.9
2.29xG1.58
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