GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 10/25/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hubei Chufeng Heli · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1-0 Shanghai Second, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

Hubei Chufeng Heli 1-1 Shanghai Second

Original prediction

Hubei Chufeng Heli

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 19:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.3%44.2%4.9 pts
Draw3.0429.5%29.3%-0.1 pts
Away2.8731.2%26.5%-4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.9 pts

Projected Score

Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–0 Shanghai Second

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

Hubei Chufeng Heli

Probability

44.2%

Model confidence

44.2%

Hubei Chufeng Heli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hubei Chufeng HeliLDWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Shanghai SecondDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Hubei Chufeng HeliShanghai Second
40.7Attack30.9
66.7Defence44.4
48.1Form22.2
54.0Power35.3
1.54xG0.53
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