Hubei Chufeng Helivs
Rizhao Yuqi
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 10/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 0-0 Rizhao Yuqi, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hubei Chufeng Heli 2-0 Rizhao Yuqi
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 33.9% | 3.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.77 | 32.4% | 34.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.2% | 31.3% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Hubei Chufeng Heli 0–0 Rizhao Yuqi
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
34.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hubei Chufeng HeliDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Rizhao YuqiWWLDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hubei Chufeng HeliRizhao Yuqi
41.7Attack23.6
65.3Defence76.4
48.6Form44.4
54.1Power50.8
0.65xG0.46