Hubei Chufeng Helivs
Guangxi Hengchen
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 5/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hubei Chufeng Heli are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the FA Cup, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guangxi Hengchen
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80