GGOALVIO

China · FA Cup · 5/17/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hubei Chufeng Heli are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (21.0 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the FA Cup, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hubei Chufeng HeliWDDWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guangxi HengchenDWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hubei Chufeng HeliGuangxi Hengchen
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence16.7
16.7Form50.0
21.0Power41.8
1.43xG1.57
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