Hubei Chufeng Helivs
Changchun Xidu
COMPLETEDChina · League Two · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hubei Chufeng Heli · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hubei Chufeng Heli 1-0 Changchun Xidu, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hubei Chufeng Heli 1-2 Changchun Xidu
Original prediction
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.1% | 43.0% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.2% | 30.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 26.3% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Hubei Chufeng Heli 1–0 Changchun Xidu
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Hubei Chufeng Heli
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Hubei Chufeng Heli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40