GGOALVIO

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · 10/9/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Huarte · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Huarte 0-2 Gazte Berriak

Original prediction

Huarte

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8648.6%39.7%-8.9 pts
Draw3.4626.1%29.8%3.7 pts
Away3.5725.3%30.5%5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.9 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–015%
  2. 2.1–115%
  3. 3.1–013%

Predicted outcome

Huarte

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

Huarte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuarteLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Gazte BerriakNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
HuarteGazte Berriak
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.08xG0.92
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