Huartevs
Avance Ezcabarte
COMPLETEDSpain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huarte · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Huarte 1-0 Avance Ezcabarte
Original prediction
Huarte
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.7% | 38.3% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.7% | 30.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.7% | 31.7% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Huarte
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Huarte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20