GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/16/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Huachipato are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Huachipato hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

36.0%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuachipatoLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Racing MontevideoDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
HuachipatoRacing Montevideo
33.3Attack0.0
8.3Defence66.7
25.0Form0.0
26.1Power23.7
1.13xG1.26
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