GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/13/2024, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Club · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Huachipato are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Racing Club are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Club hold a 27.0-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Racing Club holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Club

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Racing Club has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HuachipatoDLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Racing ClubLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HuachipatoRacing Club
33.3Attack61.1
8.3Defence50.0
25.0Form44.4
26.1Power53.1
1.14xG1.78
View match centre →