GGOALVIO

Sweden · Ettan - Södra · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trollhättan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hässleholms IF 0-1 Trollhättan

Original prediction

Trollhättan

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1641.5%35.6%-5.9 pts
Draw3.4525.9%26.2%0.3 pts
Away2.7532.5%38.2%5.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.2–18%

Predicted outcome

Trollhättan

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Trollhättan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hässleholms IFWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TrollhättanWWWLW

GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hässleholms IFTrollhättan
55.6Attack73.3
77.8Defence57.8
66.7Form54.4
67.2Power59.9
1.38xG1.60
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